If you need a reliable, accurate, thought provoking and informed economic forecasting at both local and international levels, look no further. Informed by Stephen's exceptionally broad experience and background, his
The parlous position of the Western Australian economy and the plummeting approval of the state Liberal Government of Colin Barnett means the July 2 federal election could hang on half a dozen line-ball seats in the west.
Having experienced the wealth explosion that came when the mining investment boom was in full swing, the people of WA are experiencing the down side of the mining depression.
They are suffering the after-effects of policy incompetence and the fact that during the boom times the Government did nothing to build a war chest of funds to support the economy to use when things inevitably turned lower. If only there had been something akin to a mining tax to lock in revenue from super mining profits that could have been used now to support growth and jobs when some stimulus was needed.
When it comes to a discussion about government spending, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Treasurer Scott Morrison need to be a little self reflective and less the attack dogs on Labor’s alleged “big spending” plans.
Under the Coalition’s watch, government spending has surged to the point where between 25.2 and 25.8 per cent of the economy is accounted for by spending from the Federal government in the period from 2013-14 to 2019-20.
Embarrassingly for Turnbull and Morrison is the fact, in Mr Morrison’s own budget papers from just three weeks ago, that in the last full year of the previous Labor government, government spending was just 24.1 per cent of GDP. Indeed, in the last three years of the Labor government, spending was between 24.1 and 24.9 per cent of GDP. To put that in context, each 1 per cent of GDP is a thumping $17 billion.